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2 Feb 2016
USD/JPY: fundamentals remain bullish - Scotiabank
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Eric Theoret, CFA, CMT FX Strategist at Scotiabank explained that movement in the Yen is constrained by pressure from fundamentals and relative central bank policy, offset by support from the broader tone of risk aversion.
Key Quotes:
"We note the lack of a specific response to the release of PMI’s (both domestic and China’s official/Caixin private sector measure).
Fundamentals are bearish for JPY, as we consider the renewed divergence in relative central bank policy following Friday’s surprise BoJ shift to negative rates.
With regards to sentiment, we note that JPY is vulnerable to positioning with Friday’s CFTC data detailing a net long JPY position of $5.3bn (as of January 26—pre-BoJ), its most bullish since early 2012."
Key Quotes:
"We note the lack of a specific response to the release of PMI’s (both domestic and China’s official/Caixin private sector measure).
Fundamentals are bearish for JPY, as we consider the renewed divergence in relative central bank policy following Friday’s surprise BoJ shift to negative rates.
With regards to sentiment, we note that JPY is vulnerable to positioning with Friday’s CFTC data detailing a net long JPY position of $5.3bn (as of January 26—pre-BoJ), its most bullish since early 2012."