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15 Apr 2013
Forex Flash: USD/JPY rally pauses - Nomura
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Nomura strategist Yujiro Goto notes that USD/JPY´s rally has paused since last Friday.
He believes that three factors lay behind the JPY appreciation against USD and the other major currencies. Firstly, he sees that JGB yields are still trading volatile in the aftermath of the BoJ´s recent landmark easing announcement. Secondly, with the G20 around the corner, focus looks set to fall upon the issue of “currency wars”. And finally, weak US economic data looks set to continue in the short term. Overall, he still is expecting USD/JPY to rise gradually after the JGB stabilises and concerns over international criticism weaken. He writes, “Nonetheless, weaker US data may slow the pace of JPY weakness in the near future. We maintain our view that USDJPY rises to 100 as of end-June and it keeps rising gradually toward 102 as of end-December.
He believes that three factors lay behind the JPY appreciation against USD and the other major currencies. Firstly, he sees that JGB yields are still trading volatile in the aftermath of the BoJ´s recent landmark easing announcement. Secondly, with the G20 around the corner, focus looks set to fall upon the issue of “currency wars”. And finally, weak US economic data looks set to continue in the short term. Overall, he still is expecting USD/JPY to rise gradually after the JGB stabilises and concerns over international criticism weaken. He writes, “Nonetheless, weaker US data may slow the pace of JPY weakness in the near future. We maintain our view that USDJPY rises to 100 as of end-June and it keeps rising gradually toward 102 as of end-December.